Background: To assess the characteristics of progesterone (Prog) changes in women with a subtle Prog rise in recombinant follicle-stimulating hormone (r-FSH) and GnRH antagonist cycles. Methods: We enrolled 233 patients undergoing controlled ovarian hyperstimulation with r-FSH and GnRH antagonist for IVF or ICSI. A subtle Prog rise 1 day before hCG administration was defined as a Prog value of ≧1.2 ng/ml. Results: 100 of 233 cycles (42.9%) showed a subtle Prog rise in this study. The mean serum Prog levels and area under curve (AUC) in the group with Prog ≧1.2 ng/ml was significantly higher than that in the Prog <1.2 ng/ml group on cycle day 8 (1.17 ± 0.4 and 0.80 ± 0.3 ng/ml, respectively, for Prog level, p = 0.003; 571 ± 123 and 763 ± 250 for AUC, p = 0.001), and remained significantly higher until the day of hCG administration. Moreover, 55% of the patients on cycle day 9, 65% on cycle day 10, 75% on cycle day 11 and 85% on cycle day 12 in the Prog ≧1.2 ng/ml group have a serum Prog level of ≧1.2 ng/ml. Conclusion: A subtle Prog rise may occur as early as cycle day 8 in r-FSH/GnRH antagonist cycles.

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