Abstract
Background and Objectives: Aromatase inhibitors (AIs) provide an alternative to tamoxifen as an adjuvant therapy for postmenopausal patients with breast cancer (BC). Large trials resulted better outcomes with AIs. Adjuvant therapy with AIs reduced the risk of relapse compared with tamoxifen. Systemic therapies for BC can interfere with bone turnover, either by affecting gonadal steroid hormone production or by inhibiting peripheral aromatization into estrogen. We aimed to evaluate the safety profile of bone-related events by comparing 3 AIs with tamoxifen and a placebo. Methods: The Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analysis guidelines were used for network meta-analyses (NMAs). Searches were performed using PubMed, Embase/Medline, Cochrane, and Ovid databases. Randomized controlled trials comparing tamoxifen and placebo or other AIs to steroidal or nonsteroidal AIs in patients with BC reporting bone-related safety events were included in NMA. NMA in a Bayesian approach was performed using R software (ver 3.2), Gemtc package. Results: Seventeen studies reporting 4 different bone-related endpoints were included. Although there was no statistical significance, treatment with exemestane lowered the incidence of bone pain (odds ratio [OR] vs. anastrozole and letrozole: 0.63, 0.54), fracture episodes (OR vs. anastrozole and letrozole: 0.84, 0.80), and osteoporosis (OR vs. anastrozole and letrozole: 0.85, 0.73) compared with letrozole and anastrozole. Reduction in bone mineral density was lesser in exemestane than in anastrozole (mean reduction in hip: 1.05; lumbar spine: 1.25). Treatment ranking with the surface under the cumulative ranking curve showed that exemestane was found to reduce the incidence of bone-related adverse events. Conclusion: A lower incidence of bone-related safety events was observed in patients treated with exemestane.
Introduction
Breast cancer (BC) is the prevalent cause of malignancy with an incidence of 2.26 million new cases [1]. Estrogen receptors (ERs) are nuclear proteins that regulate the expression of specific genes, and approximately 80% of BCs express ER [2]. In previous trials [3], aromatase inhibitors (AIs) have shown to be more effective than selective ER modulator (SERM), such as tamoxifen in neoadjuvant, adjuvant, and metastatic settings [4-7]. AIs are used as adjuvant therapy in ER + BC as per the National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) and the European Society for Medical Oncology (ESMO) guidelines [8, 9]. AIs are used for a longer duration, and continuous deprivation of estrogen may affect other physiological functions, which leads to lower adherence [10]. Coupled with increased survival, relative risks of age-associated diseases, and interruption of physiological functions of estrogen, musculoskeletal changes are reported in patients treated with AIs in adjuvant settings [11].
Estradiol is important for the development and progression of BC in women with ER + early BC [12]. Endocrine therapy prevents deleterious effects of estradiol in breast tissue by depleting estradiol concentration or by preventing its local action in breast tissue (SERMs, i.e., tamoxifen), thereby improving oncological outcomes [13]. The use of AIs in postmenopausal women leads to systemic estradiol depletion, which affects the overall skeletal health [14]. Estradiol-deficient state causes increased bone remodeling and negative bone balance. This results in bone loss, microstructural deterioration, and bone fragility predisposing to fractures [12, 15]. Similar effects are observed with tamoxifen in premenopausal women [12, 16]. In contrast, the use of tamoxifen in postmenopausal women appears to exert its protective effects on bone, but studies on fracture risk are inconclusive [12, 17]. The longevity of women with ER + BC treated who received adjuvant endocrine therapy emphasizes the need to mitigate adverse skeletal effects of these therapies to maximize benefit. Fractures are associated with increased morbidity, mortality, and a high socioeconomic burden [15, 18].
Two types of AIs are available: a steroidal, irreversible aromatase inactivator exemestane [19] and a nonsteroidal reversible imidazole (anastrozole [20] and letrozole [21]). Exemestane is a third-generation AI [22]. It was approved for use in postmenopausal patients with metastatic BC after progression with tamoxifen [22]. Its efficacy was proven in the adjuvant setting and was routinely used [23, 24]. With respect to relative efficacies of different AIs, a recent meta-analysis reported similar efficacy [25]. With exemestane, the incidence of bone-related adverse events (AEs) may be comparatively less in patients treated in the adjuvant settings than the other 2 AIs. Clinical trials reporting bone-related events did not have sufficient statistical power for providing effect estimates on the incidence of bone-related events. A recent randomized, phase 3 trial conducted on 4,136 postmenopausal patients with hormone receptor-positive and node-positive early BC showed noninferiority of letrozole to anastrozole in terms of the endpoints such as disease-free survival, overall survival, and safety. However, the study was terminated prematurely due to lower than expected disease-free survival events. Moreover, this study did not account for any bone-related events [26]. Furthermore, a meta-analysis comparing the safety of all third-generation AIs focused on bone health is limited. Hence, limited clinical data present a challenge to optimize disease management. The goal of this mixed treatment comparison network meta-analyses (NMAs) is to compare the relative safety of exemestane with letrozole and anastrozole in terms of the incidence of bone-related AEs.
Materials and Methods
Identification and Development of Search Strings
A comprehensive systematic literature review was performed according to the prespecified protocol after the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analysis (PRISMA) recommendations for systematic reviews incorporating NMA [26]. The PRISMA-NMA checklist of items was used when reporting a systematic review. Electronic medical databases (PubMed, Embase/Medline, Cochrane Library, and Ovid database) were searched with search strategy formulated using the Patient, Intervention, Comparator, Outcome, Study type methodology. RCTs in patients with BC treated with AIs in adjuvant settings compared with tamoxifen, placebo, or other AIs reporting bone safety events were considered (shown in Fig. 1).
Literature was searched since its inception through March 12, 2021 with the following search string: (“breast tumor”/exp OR “breast gland tumor” OR “breast gland tumour” OR “breast mass” OR “breast neoplasms” OR “breast neoplasms, male” OR “breast tumor” OR “breast tumour” OR “female breast neoplasm” OR “female breast tumor” OR “female breast tumour” OR “mamma tumor” OR “mamma tumour” OR “mammary gland tumor” OR “mammary gland tumour” OR “mammary neoplasms” OR “mammary tumor” OR “mammary tumor cell” OR “mammary tumour” OR “mammary tumour cell” OR “unilateral breast neoplasms”) AND (“letrozole”/exp OR “1 (4, 4′ dicyanobenzhydryl) 1, 2, 4 triazole” OR “4, 4′ (1 h 1, 2, 4 triazol 1 ylmethylene) bis (benzonitrile)” OR “cgs 20267” OR “cgs20267” OR “femar” OR “femara” OR “letrozole” OR “loxifan” OR “anastrozole”/exp OR “2, 2′ [5 (1 h 1, 2, 4 triazol 1 ylmethyl) 1, 3 phenylene] bis (2 methylpropionitrile)” OR “anastrozole” OR “anastrozole” OR “arimidex” OR “ici d1033” OR “icid1033” OR “trozolet” OR “zd 1033” OR “zd1033” OR “exemestane”/exp OR “6 methyleneandrosta 1, 4 diene 3, 17 dione” OR “aromasin” OR “aromasine” OR “exemestane” OR “fce 24304” OR “fce24304” OR “nakides” OR “nikidess” OR “pnu 155971” OR “pnu155971”) AND (“risk assessment”/exp OR “assessment, safety” OR “risk adjustment” OR “risk analysis” OR “risk assessment” OR “risk evaluation” OR “safety assessment” OR “osteoporosis”/exp OR “decalcification, pathologic” OR “endocrine osteoporosis” OR “osteoporosis” OR “osteoporotic decalcification” OR “fracture”/exp OR “bone cement fracture” OR “bone fracture” OR “closed fracture” OR “fracture” OR “fractures” OR “fractures, bone” OR “fractures, closed” OR “skeleton fracture” OR “unstable fracture”) AND (placebo). Retrieved hits were compiled in a master sheet in Excel, duplicates were removed, a consolidated list of studies was screened for inclusion based on title, abstract, and full text of the publications.
Inclusion/Exclusion Criteria
Studies reporting bone safety endpoints of RCTs that compare AIs with tamoxifen, placebo-controlled studies, or other AIs in adjuvant and early BC settings were included. In case of multiple studies reporting the results of the same RCT, updated studies with relevant endpoints were included. Studies reporting other outcomes/endpoints and studies in neoadjuvant and advanced/metastatic BC settings along with non-English articles were excluded.
Screening of Articles
Two reviewers initially screened the titles and abstracts (where available) of all identified studies, according to predefined inclusion and exclusion criteria. If disagreements arose, discussions were conducted until a consensus was reached or a third reviewer was consulted. Full-text reviews and evaluations were obtained for articles and data extraction was then performed using a prespecified data-extraction template in Microsoft Excel. One researcher extracted the data, while another researcher and a statistician independently verified its accuracy.
Publication Bias and Methodological Quality Assessment
Publication bias for bone safety outcomes was assessed by visual inspection of comparison-adjusted funnel plots. Methodological quality assessment of the included studies was assessed by the Cochrane risk-of-bias tool.
Outcomes and Endpoints
At the data extraction stage, all bone-related endpoints were included for extraction. Endpoints included were incidences of bone pain, osteoporosis, fracture episodes, and changes in bone mineral density (BMD) in the hip and lumbar spine. The final analysis included only ≥grade 3 AEs.
Network Geometry
For arriving at a proper network geometry, published randomized trials were analyzed. Evidence from the systematic review was sorted based on the intervention and comparator drugs for each endpoint. Each distinct drug was considered as a node in network, and connecting effect estimates were considered as edges. Disconnected nodes were connected with indirect evidence to complete the network for all endpoints. Publication-bias funnel plot was represented by an endpoint with maximum direct evidence as revealed by the number of studies. There were 5 expected nodes (tamoxifen, placebo, exemestane, letrozole, and anastrozole), and the overall network geometry was established considering all endpoints. Accordingly, direct evidence for any of the study endpoints was used to connect the nodes to establish the network geometry. Endpoints with a steroidal node and a minimum of 1 nonsteroidal node and/or tamoxifen were included.
Statistical Analysis
Data management, relevancy, duplication removal, and assessment of eligibility were performed using Microsoft Excel. Arm-level data with respect to the different bone safety events were extracted and used. The statistical software “R” was used. The Gemtc package based on generalized linear modeling was used for random Bayesian analysis [27]. Model heterogeneity was assessed using the I2 statistic. Model fitting was performed using convergence between prior and posterior values using deviance information criteria (DIC). Random and fixed effects were selected based on the DIC and I2 values. The model with the lower DIC and I2 values was used for the analysis. The odds ratio (OR) was the effect estimate used for the comparison of all endpoints, except changes in BMD. The mean reduction from baseline was the effect estimate used for the analysis of BMD. Effect estimates from indirect pairwise comparison of exemestane with other 2 AIs and surface under the cumulative ranking curve (SUCRA) values were used to interpret results. Most studies reported statistically nonsignificant effect estimates for bone safety events, and SUCRA values were used for identifying the treatment arm that reduced the incidence of bone safety events as compared with tamoxifen and placebo.
Results
Characteristics of Eligible Articles
A total of 2,090 consolidated studies were found, which were further curated to exclude duplicates and irrelevant articles using title and abstract during preliminary screening. A study flow diagram with results of the search strategy as per the PRISMA guidelines is shown in Figure 1. After the initial screening, 17 distinct studies were further scrutinized and considered eligible. Coleman et al. [28] and Coombes et al. [29] reported data from the same trial, and both studies were used. Forbes et al. [30] and Singh et al. [31] reported data from the same trial with a placebo-controlled study as a sub-study. Relevant data from the outcomes were extracted. The baseline demographics of studies are provided in Table 1. A total of 43,708 patients were analyzed for NMA.
Network Geometry
Network geometry differed based on the endpoint assessed. The most frequently reported direct comparisons were anastrozole and tamoxifen (5 studies), tamoxifen and exemestane (5 studies), and placebo (3 studies). Endpoints assessed were fracture episodes, osteoporosis, bone pain, and changes in BMD. Myalgia was excluded for analysis as there were no studies reporting the incidence of myalgia in patients treated with exemestane. Network geometry consists of 5 nodes and 6 edges for fracture, osteoporosis, bone pain, respectively. The overall network is shown in Figure 2a.
a Network diagram of evidences to show the number of studies obtained as direct evidences. b Comparison of adjusted funnel plot for bone-related outcomes.
a Network diagram of evidences to show the number of studies obtained as direct evidences. b Comparison of adjusted funnel plot for bone-related outcomes.
Publication Bias
Publication bias assessed by visual inspection of treatment-adjusted funnel plots and Egger’s regression revealed negligible publication bias for bone-related outcomes (shown in Fig. 2b).
Bone Pain
There were 7 studies that reported bone pain-related events associated with AI therapy, of which tamoxifen was the comparator for 5 studies, and placebo was the comparator for 2 studies. On the basis of heterogeneity, the data fit was better with the random effects model (DIC: 30.08, I2: 8%); hence, it was used for analysis. Compared with tamoxifen, all AIs had higher odds for bone pain (shown in Fig. 3a). With placebo-controlled studies, odds of bone pain incidences were lesser (shown in Fig. 3b). Among AIs, exemestane had lower odds for bone pain than anastrozole (exemestane vs. anastrozole) (OR: 0.6376, 95% credibility interval [CrI]: 0.0964–2.587) and letrozole (OR: 0.5496, 95% CrI: 0.0264–7.3337; Table 2). ORs revealed lack of statistical significance for all comparisons. According to cumulative rank plots (shown in Fig. 3c) and SUCRA values as outlined in Table 2, exemestane was the best among the AIs followed by anastrozole and letrozole (the ranking of SUCRA is as follows: exemestane: 0.595, anastrozole: 0.3525, and letrozole: 0.3395).
a Forest plot depicting relative safety with respect to bone pain with tamoxifen as comparator. b Forest plot depicting relative safety with respect to bone pain with placebo as comparator. c Cumulative rank plot for comparison of treatments based on safety for bone pain with tamoxifen and placebo as comparator.
a Forest plot depicting relative safety with respect to bone pain with tamoxifen as comparator. b Forest plot depicting relative safety with respect to bone pain with placebo as comparator. c Cumulative rank plot for comparison of treatments based on safety for bone pain with tamoxifen and placebo as comparator.
Osteoporosis
Ten studies reported osteoporosis-related events associated with AI therapy. One trial (MA 17.R) [35] reported data with BMD after a follow-up with placebo for 5 years. On the basis of heterogeneity, the data fit was better with the random effects model (DIC: 38.71, I2: 0%); hence, it was used for analysis. All the AIs had significantly higher odds of osteoporosis (shown in Fig. 4a) than tamoxifen. Among the AIs, exemestane had lower odds of osteoporosis than anastrozole (OR: 0.8594, 95% CrI: 0.5766–1.168) and letrozole (OR: 0.7358, 95% CrI: 0.4301–1.307; Table 2). The ORs revealed lack of statistical significance for all comparisons both with tamoxifen and placebo (shown in Fig. 4a, b). According to cumulative rank plots (shown in Fig. 4c) and SUCRA values, exemestane was the best among the AIs followed by anastrozole and letrozole (the ranking of SUCRA is as follows: exemestane: 0.56, anastrozole: 0.28, and letrozole: 0.11; Table 2).
a Forest plot depicting the relative safety with respect to osteoporosis with tamoxifen as comparator. b Forest plot depicting the relative safety with respect to osteoporosis with placebo as comparator. c Cumulative rank plot for comparison of treatments based on safety for osteoporosis with tamoxifen and placebo as comparators.
a Forest plot depicting the relative safety with respect to osteoporosis with tamoxifen as comparator. b Forest plot depicting the relative safety with respect to osteoporosis with placebo as comparator. c Cumulative rank plot for comparison of treatments based on safety for osteoporosis with tamoxifen and placebo as comparators.
Fracture Episodes
Ten studies reported fracture-related events associated with AI therapy, of which 7 distinct studies reported outcomes as compared with tamoxifen, whereas 3 distinct RCTs were placebo-controlled studies. On the basis of heterogeneity, the data fit was better with a random effects model (DIC: 52.08, I2: 7%); hence, it was used for analysis. Compared with tamoxifen, all the 3 AIs had higher odds of fracture episodes (shown in Fig. 5a) in placebo-controlled RCTs, and exemestane had lower incidences of fracture episodes as compared with the other 2 AIs (shown in Fig. 5b). Among the AIs, patients treated with exemestane had lower incidence of fracture episodes in comparison with anastrozole (OR: 0.8497, 95% CrI: 0.628–1.119) and letrozole (OR: 0.8051, 95% CrI: 0.4561–1.295). ORs revealed lack of statistical significance for all comparisons with both tamoxifen and placebo. According to cumulative rank plots (shown in Fig. 5c) and SUCRA values, exemestane was the best among the AIs followed by letrozole and anastrozole (the ranking of SUCRA is as follows: exemestane: 0.62, anastrozole: 0.25, and letrozole: 0.18; Table 2).
a Forest plot depicting the relative safety with respect to fracture episodes as compared to tamoxifen. b Forest plot depicting the relative safety with respect to fracture episodes as compared to placebo. c Cumulative rank plot for comparison of treatments based on safety for fracture episodes.
a Forest plot depicting the relative safety with respect to fracture episodes as compared to tamoxifen. b Forest plot depicting the relative safety with respect to fracture episodes as compared to placebo. c Cumulative rank plot for comparison of treatments based on safety for fracture episodes.
Changes in BMD
Eight studies reported changes in BMD in hip and lumbar spines, of which 5 studies compared BMD with tamoxifen, and 3 studies compared BMD with placebo. On the basis of heterogeneity, the data fit was better with a fixed-effects model (hip spine, DIC: 8.36, I2: 0%; lumbar spine, DIC: 10.37%, I2: 0%); hence, it was used for analysis. Treatment with both anastrozole and exemestane led to an increased reduction in BMD from baseline (shown in Fig. 6a, c) compared with tamoxifen. In placebo-controlled RCTs, all the 3 AIs showed a reduction in BMD from baseline in both hip and lumbar spine (shown in Fig. 6b, d). Compared with exemestane, a mean reduction in BMD from baseline was high in patients treated with anastrozole and letrozole in lumbar (anastrozole [mean reduction]: 1.252, 95% CrI: −0.476 to 2.963 and letrozole [mean reduction]: 4.38, 95% CrI: −1.641 to 1.641) and hip (anastrozole [mean reduction: −0.1419, 95% CrI: −1.558 to −1.259 and letrozole [mean reduction]: −1.819, 95% CrI: −6.854 to −3.207). According to cumulative rank plots (shown in Fig. 6e, f) and SUCRA values, exemestane was better than letrozole for hip (hip: exemestane: 0.29 and letrozole: 0.16 and better than both anastrozole and letrozole in lumbar spine: exemestane: 0.52, anastrozole: 0.23, and letrozole: 0.07).
a Forest plot depicting the reduction in BMD in the lumbar spine compared with tamoxifen. b Forest plot depicting the reduction in BMD in the lumbar spine compared with placebo. c Forest plot depicting the reduction in BMD in the hip compared with tamoxifen. d Forest plot depicting the reduction in BMD in the hip compared with placebo. e Cumulative rank plot for comparison of treatments based on BMD at hip. f Cumulative rank plot for comparison of treatments based on BMD at lumbar spine.
a Forest plot depicting the reduction in BMD in the lumbar spine compared with tamoxifen. b Forest plot depicting the reduction in BMD in the lumbar spine compared with placebo. c Forest plot depicting the reduction in BMD in the hip compared with tamoxifen. d Forest plot depicting the reduction in BMD in the hip compared with placebo. e Cumulative rank plot for comparison of treatments based on BMD at hip. f Cumulative rank plot for comparison of treatments based on BMD at lumbar spine.
Discussion
Of the 3 AIs, evidence from preclinical models and clinical studies suggests that exemestane is a good candidate for long-term treatment of early BC in the adjuvant setting owing to its antiestrogenic effects such as bone resorption and mild androgenic activity [15]. Of the 3 bone safety endpoints assessed, exemestane was better than letrozole and anastrozole as revealed by SUCRA values. Assessment of bone safety was not a primary endpoint in any of the included studies. Incidences reported in individual studies were not adequately powered in terms of statistical significance. Standard errors for bone safety events were relatively high in included studies that reflected in indirect effect estimates derived from Bayesian models. The SUCRA values suggested that exemestane was associated with lower incidences of bone fracture, bone pain, and osteoporosis. The mean reduction in BMD was lower in patients treated with exemestane than those treated with anastrozole, which could be the biological reason for the lower incidence of bone safety events in patients treated with exemestane.
Both nonsteroidal and steroidal AIs reduced contralateral primary BCs compared with tamoxifen [44]. The side effects of AIs differ from those of SERMs, reflecting the specific mechanism of action of these drugs [11]. There is strong evidence that AIs are well tolerated [45]. Owing to the difference in the mode of action of steroidal and nonsteroidal AIs, the incidences of safety events were also presumed to be different. In early preclinical studies, letrozole was found to achieve higher levels of whole-body aromatization than exemestane and anastrozole (>99.1% for letrozole vs. 97.3% for anastrozole vs. 97.9% for exemestane) [35, 46, 47]. Hence, letrozole might lead to higher incidence of safety events. The results of NMA also suggest that letrozole was associated with a higher incidence of bone pain and osteoporosis.
BMD and bone turnover are more accurate predictors of bone safety events but are not reported for all the studies. Hence, BMD reported for exemestane, anastrozole, and letrozole was under analysis. The results suggested that lower reduction was reported in BMD in both hip and lumbar spine in patients treated with exemestane than those treated with anastrozole at 2 years. Reduction in BMD in patients treated with exemestane was reported to be less after 2 years suggesting that the effects of exemestane on BMD and bone safety might be better after prolonged treatment [48]. This suggests that exemestane is the best long-term adjuvant therapy.
All the 3 AIs have been associated with an increased risk of osteoporosis and/or fractures in adjuvant BC trials. These trials did not report vertebral fracture events and may have used different definitions for osteoporosis. Baseline T scores were not reported in the majority of studies, and randomization was also not stratified based on baseline T scores. The sequence of endocrine therapy use might also influence bone safety events. In the majority of exemestane studies, patients were previously treated with tamoxifen; hence, the observed incidence of bone-related events might also be due to the residual effect of tamoxifen. Other AIs have been evaluated in the first-line endocrine therapy settings. Despite that, results suggest that exemestane was associated with a lower incidence of bone safety events in our analysis.
All trials investigated the effects of AIs on bone-related safety events when compared with tamoxifen. The accurate reason for the difference in BMD observed between AI and tamoxifen would be difficult to decipher. Comparison of estimates with placebo as a comparator was done to determine the effect of AI on bone health.
The safety profile is important as a number of AEs would greatly influence the adherence rate to drugs [49]. Data on predefined AEs were usually collected to monitor the safety profile of anastrozole, exemestane, and letrozole as compared with that of tamoxifen [35]. Up to 30% of all women taking AIs report myalgia or arthralgia [50]. In the adjuvant setting, the rate of musculoskeletal symptoms is significantly higher for all the third-generation AIs compared with tamoxifen [48]. These events generally emerge early in treatment and are of low grade and improve with time [35]. AIs cause an increase in both bone resorption and formation [35]. Osteoporosis and increased fracture rates occur in some patients when using AIs [35]. Although preclinical studies suggested that bone loss may be less during treatment with a steroidal AI (exemestane) compared with nonsteroidal AIs (anastrozole and letrozole), there is no clinical trials evidence confirming these hypotheses [35]. In contrast, RCT of healthy volunteers demonstrated that all the AIs have a similar effect on bone turnover [51]. As a result of early screening for osteopenia and osteoporosis whenever AIs are implemented in patients with early BCs and liberal use of calcium, vitamin D, and bisphosphonates, the issue of bone loss seems to be solved for the majority of patients [50].
The results are in accordance with previous studies, which have reported that musculoskeletal symptoms and decreased BMD are the anticipated effects of hormonal therapies, such as AIs, that produce menopause-like effects [3]. In the MA.27 trial [15], arthralgia, muscle pain, and fractures were reported in both exemestane and anastrozole treatment groups; however, exemestane was associated with a significantly lower incidence of self-reported new-onset osteoporosis compared with anastrozole. Real-world studies show that in terms of bone loss, steroidal AI is expected to be superior to nonsteroidal AI because steroids in bone would be favorable for bone metabolism. In an observational study, exemestane treatment maintained BMD of femoral neck (FN), suggesting that exemestane is favorable for BMD of FN [52]. The reason why steroidal AI induces less damage to FN compared with nonsteroidal AI is unknown, but steroidal AI might affect bone turnover directly through its structure. Oesterreich et al. [53] reported that urine N-telopeptide concentration was significantly increased in patients treated with exemestane but not in those treated with letrozole[54]. Another observational study in a real-world setting, conducted with everolimus plus exemestane in postmenopausal women with hormone receptor-positive, HER2-negative advanced BC showed that this combination had lower incidents of bone-related events [52].
The advantages of NMA are that it not only increases statistical power by incorporating evidence from both direct (head-to-head) and indirect comparisons across all 4 interventions but also can provide insights into the relative effectiveness of interventions that have never been directly compared such as anastrozole therapy, letrozole therapy, and exemestane therapy. It combines direct and indirect evidence on the relative effectiveness of several interventions with respect to randomization. NMA with the Bayesian framework, at best, provides a robust and mathematically coherent framework and shows a good prediction accuracy even with rather small sample sizes [54].
One of the limitations of this analysis is that there were a limited number of studies for some of the endpoints but that would not affect the overall power of the study. Heterogeneity is difficult to avoid because the patient profile differed for each trial. The main strength of this analysis is the fact that this is the first NMA comparing comprehensive safety events of different AIs covering bone-related events.
To conclude, results of NMA suggest that the lower incidences of bone-related safety events were observed in patients treated with exemestane than those treated with letrozole and anastrozole. Furthermore, randomized controlled trials and prospective studies in a large cohort are warranted to determine the side effects of AIs on bone-related health in this patient population. The existence of a superior or patient-specific AI remains questionable. The decision to use one specific AI should be based on their respective safety profiles, maturity of data, and availability of results within chosen clinical strategies. As clinicians are now shifting more to AIs, it is imperative to have an evidence-based decision algorithm to make an informed choice. Bone-related safety events remain an important consideration for the increase in the number of incidents such as fracture and joint stiffness that lowers the quality of life and in turn affects adherence to the treatment regimen.
Acknowledgments
We would like to thank Pfizer Medical Affair, along with Dr. Amit Bhat of Indegene Pvt Ltd., India for their editorial and medical writing support. Also, we acknowledge Divya of Indegene Pvt Ltd., for statistical analysis support.
Statement of Ethics
An ethics statement is not applicable because this study is based exclusively on published literature.
Conflict of Interest Statement
The authors have no conflicts of interest to declare.
Funding Sources
No funding was received for this study.
Author Contributions
Substantial contributions to the conception or design of the work or the acquisition, analysis, or interpretation of data for the work: Shanshan Chen and Lan Bo. Drafting the work or revising it critically for important intellectual content: Lan Bo, Dan Lv, and Fei Ma. Final approval of the version to be published: Shanshan Chen, Lan Bo, Dan Lv, and Fei Ma. Agreement to be accountable for all aspects of the work in ensuring that questions related to the accuracy or integrity of any part of the work are appropriately investigated and resolved: Shanshan Chen, Lan Bo, Dan Lv, and Fei Ma.
Data Availability Statement
All data generated or analyzed during this study are included in this article. Further inquiries can be directed to the corresponding author.